February 15

You don't have to duck logic long before you realize the Mac community has gone off the deep end. Last time I wandered into the Yahoo message board for their APPL financial section, I happend on thier current topic for debate. Zips vs Syquest. What the hell? It's not no longer nerdy enough to endlessly harrange people for their choice in computers, but now there's a healthy flame war being decided on computer peripherals. I mean this is pure spooky fucking wierd. It's no longer analogous to a bizzare cult of people who support Sony brand VCR's flame-baiting Panisonic VCR owners, it's now about the goddamn video tape used in them. This is scary - very scary. But to make matters worse, for a whole second I acutally noticed odd paralells in the pattern of suckers who endlessly prattle on about how much better it is to spend 1 thousand dollars more on computers emblazoned with fruit, and those who think Syquest is deserving of the time of day. The only reason it was interresting outside of the fright-zone, was the fact that I'd been subjected to Syquests flood of crap in the early 90's in my line of work - graphic design and color production. Back then those drives were so expensive, and so failure prone that we had a pile of gold bricks cluttering trash bins every day from a whole host of clients - all of which then had to call out the emergency patrol to resend their data. In all of these cases it was the inherint design flaw of having a rigid form of Winchester-like hard drive trying to brave the elements outside of a clean-room environment. There was one other competitor Iomega, who had a floppy like design that served well due to using the Bernulli principle. This means if there's crap on the surface, the disk falls away from the heads. Very neat, and unfortunately slow to come to market to stave off any competition from Syquest's entrenched marketshare. What broke their stranglehold on the graphics industry as well as others was Iomega's Zip format. Like the PC vs Mac wars, this one was won on price and Iomega dropped a nuclear device right into Syquests lap. Just like the MacJihad that touts an infinite lifespan with the creative community because of "quality" Syquest found themselves with a frying pan in the face due to people jumping ship from 700 dollar-plus drives and 100 dollar media to cheap 200 dollar Zip drives and 10 buck media. Now the shoe is on the other foot. While Syquest may be trying to foist themselves as faster, they're still not cheaper to the basic Zip product, which is so cheap that it's now bundled with many PC's as well as Macs. Brother, when you have a standard for more than 4 years, you're out of the 8-track biz for good. The wierdness is that naturally those Mac owners that are stuck with Syquest are gnashing their teeth over reality, much in the same way their running defeatest logic against the Wintel community. "It's sucks", "it's available everywhere and ergo - sucks", "it's not as fast/cool/neat as the crap I'm stuck with". Sound familiar? Funny thing is, aside from no one giving a damn about Syquest vs Zips, it's an ironic testimony to the same drivel that they foist on the Wintel community every day. The BBBS is living proof. No one gives a damn anymore, and the e-mail bombs, the spam, the mail-floods are all sad testimony to the plight of the damned. When no one gives a crap about anything but you and your cult-like friends, you need to get new friends - and FAST.


February 16

You know it's going to be damn ironic for the MacJihadists as the Apple tragedy shifts into high gear. I mean there's a reason I don't favor techie arguments much - if ever - in my column. It's because if you're splitting MIPS you're missing the forest from the trees. Here's some firewood to burn on. With the retail presence shrinking people won't be seeing Macs, even badly represented Macintoshes in person very much. With only direct-mail and a single retailer hawking computer fruit, you've basically got the same real-world mindshare reserved for porno video tapes and the like. So if the computers are in essance harder to find, what's next on the hit parade? How about price. If you steal a Mac from some luckless owner, I suppose it's actually possible for people to pay less than a grand for a complete Apple system with monitor. Unfortunately this isn't the case for the buyer. And with current news reports, it's the under 1500 and under 1000 dollar crowd that is pushing the expansion of the computer market into more businesses and homes than ever before. This is ironic because less than 2 years ago, it was pretty much the common sense argument that the computer market had hit some kind of ceiling and the industry was going to have to fight themselves on margins of price and components to exploit the upgrade market till the end of time. What they discovered was that cheap computers, regardless of horsepower, are what people want. The horsepower argument is invalid because people know that Porche's are nice enough cars, but really can't justify getting one to take Junior to school and to commute groceries in. Even in instances when people aren't eating off gold-flatware on the table, it just doesn't make any goddamn sense to do otherwise. Also relevant, outside of bloatware, there's no reason to have a 5 grand computer sitting around doing 3D screensavers when all you're doing is Quicken and Microsoft Word. But somehow, if you buy within your means or relevant usage you run afoul of MacNazi inferiority complexes and teeth-gnashing. They want you to spend 2 grand more on a computer that sells so well that direct mail is your only avenue of getting a good price. They want you to buy a computer from a failing company that is publically shakey due to them having to disclose numbers to the SEC about their critical health. They want you to buy a lumbering beast with an inherintly outdated OS, that's more expensive and is undersupported, so they can be your friend. With friends like these who needs enemies?


February 17

I hate to allude to pop-music if only because the metaphors usually suck, are usually a red-flag to half-assed writing ability, and are generally not applicable to an argument. So I'll just borrow a sound effect/refrain from a short-lived U2 hit last year - "discoteque". -- BOOM! -- Apple's marketshare plummits AGAIN! I mean we're getting into late-night car commercial verbage when you hear time and time again, "how looooooowww can we go"? Well here's the numbers for the Jihadders out there! Total marketshare down to 4.1 percent vs 6.7 for 96, 2.9 for business, 5.5 for home, and here's a shocker for you bullshit enthusiasts slinging crap at TBWA Chiat-Day, a whopping 27.4 for education - DOWN - from 41.6 the previous year! I mean come-on Steve Jobsie boy, stop with the PR crap. You're loosing mindshare, marketshare and even your own poster-child for sales, the education market, doesn't give a rat's ass anymore. I mean I guess school administrators who are spending my tax dollars on computers finally are getting the message. Buying dead tech that won't get Johnny a job in the real-world, might acutally not make any fucking sense! Whodathunkit!? I mean is it really possible that people who were hooked into the heroin of PR spawned by the computer equivelent of fruit might actually be getting a clue? Someone pinch me I'm so happy! My tax dollars aren't providing booster dollars to a platform of culitists anymore! Goddamn I'm in a good mood! Yipieee! Thank you DataQuest!


February 18

Glomming over the numbers some more - oh god this stuff is hillarious, It's not over yet - Here's a bullet for the MacJihad to bite on. While Apple's share of the business market decended a whopping 26.8 percent from a year ago - the market for computers going into businesses grew 20.8%. The upshot is that Apple's grip on companies fell while the market expanded for desktops and corporate workspace. I mean think about that for a second. Apple's position now sucks so bad, that while the market - fueled by the internet, productivity apps and general networking needs - expanded like a balloon, the air continues to whistle out of Apple's sales (that's a pun for spelling enthusiasts, enjoy it, I hate using them generally). And these drops aren't little - they're now comming in whole quarter at a time chunks. We're not splitting 3% losses like some cola war, this is hardcore slippage! And where the hell was Steve Jobs while his public was running away from him like a man infected with the Ebola virus? Standing on a stage in front of bigscreen monitors touting that the market has turned around for Apple. I know he's not listening to me, unlike other sites that pretend otherwise, but good god! Turning around? I think there's someone who badly needs to look over his shoulder at the stampede running away from him!


February 19

Here's some more data in this week on how dire the situation continues for the Macweak. According to Ziff-Davis, while the general market - as mentioned before - is expanding, Apple's sales in relation to it - IE marketshare - is shrinking. Of course aside from education, the last bastion of salvation for these luckless victims, the people who actually bought a white colored boat anchor emblazoned with a fruity logo, is the design community. I'm repeating myself when I mention that this market isn't as rock-solid as it seems, but now I have ZD backing me up. The latest figures officially show that the publishing market for productivity apps are now solidly in the 50% revenue range for Wintel users. If this trend continues - or as it might - increase in speed, you're going to look at a probably 70 plus percent of sales for Adobe, Quark, Macromedia and other content-generation tools. The numbers for this market are certainly more vague because unlike education and classrooms, the defenition of a content generation enterprise is pretty vague. I mean, does one guy with a laptop qualify as a publising house on the same level as one that employs 500 plus people to put out the daily news? Perhaps, but the people that define such businesses for classification are a bit more difficult to placate in these matters. What does matter, is the sales of the software tools needed to make mutlimedia, websites, video and print publishing. And the makers of these tools are a pretty good barometer for how the market is responding to Apple's woes. And brother, when you loose a crowd as stubborn as artists, you're really screwing up. Seriously, I've seen production guys lashed to light-tables and rubby lithes, defending themselves against desktop publishing with X-Acto(r) blades barred against anyone who approached them. These people are tool-tweaks of the highest callber. When they get married to their tools, it's not just a wedding of hardware and software - it's a wedding complete with pre-nuptule agreements. I've bashed the Jihad for emotional investments into boxes, but these psycho-picassos are of the bridge jumping mentality. Forget Apple, they've defended refridgerator sized Agfa Quadex typesetters to the bitter end! But if the software revenues are any hint, they've decided that the box doesn't matter, the software does. And if they can afford better boxes from companies that don't look like Howard Hughes last days of Herion soaked madness and isolation, then the last bastion of Apple propoganda is effectively over. Time to move on.


February 20

Under 1000 dollar Wintels have been a favorite topic of mine, so I'll bash this horse into mulch. Sub 1000 dollar computers are the best damn thing since sliced bread for the computer industry. And if it's possible with the new VLSI designs of entire PC boardsets on a single chip, it's more than probable that the Wintel design will be mostly represented by the cost of the picture tube or the LCD screen. Granted this isn't something that is going to generate Jurrassic Park dino's, but it will succeed in pushing more computers and more empowerment experiences into more real-world lives. Not those tooling around in BMW's as Apple had you believe 13 years ago. Well the proof is in the pudding, and we've got Bill Cosby splattered all over this one. The numbers - also from DataQuest (god I need to send a thank-you card to these guys) - spell out in real-world terms that the market for sub 1000 dollar computers last year made up for 40% of the sales. And where was Apple during this buying spree? Stuck around the 1500 dollar-plus price level. Way to swing and miss guys! Now in the face of real-world pressures, Apple's PR shills are touting that "any day now" they'll enter into this exploding market. This in the face of a maniac who claims that larger profit margins are the only way to save Apple. Take a look around! You can go to any message board, and see the MacZombies muttering - "increased profit margins" - just before chewing up another sales opportunity. Will they learn in time? Is this the end of Apple? Well like the Camel light 100 lit in my nearby ashtray, it's just another nail in the coffin. I can kick my habit, can Apple kick their inflated price addiction in time?


February 21

Well, the news is pretty much drained for the week so it's going to be another week of scouring to find more evidence of Apple's slide into oblivion. But I don't have to pick on historical references or the MacJihad just yet. There's a minor rumor blip on the radar that is just too much fun to pass up. An odd newsite VNU Newswire that had a tasty tidbit of speculation to chew on. According to the brief, there's insider information from Europe that Intel may be shaking hands with Motorola to take their unprofitable chip division off their hands. Now, I take this with a boulder of salt because when was the last time a major bombshell like this was uncovered by the Euro-press? Still, it's damn fun to speculate on the motives and the ensuant madness that would explode from a incendiary device like this. Let's imagine for a moment. Motorola takes a marginal bath on it's yearly operations on small margin chips that populate some fringe workstations that IBM can retool in a heartbeat. IBM is getting ready to unleash some copper-fed speed demons from hell that would blow the barns doors off it's minor forray with Apple and Motorola. Motorola has it's hands full with a million other devices including it's own satelite field that will handle remote cell phone and data traffic, thus putting an artifical ring around the planet, Max Headroom style. Chips are now a distraction in comparrision. Intel is retooling it's processors into more RISC based hybrids to compliment it's CISC strategy to put 1MEGmhz processors onto a reduced price market that would be ready for upgrade in a few years. What would this mean for Apple? KaBOOOM! If the whole darn processor line dies, the PPC position would be dammage control from hell. Don't snigger in doubt, crazier things have happened when mega-mergers occur. If this lu-lu of a scenario played out, there would be user confidence shaken from within their own ranks, then faced with the horrible prospect of falling into the "intel inside"pack, that they would be spitting bile til the cows came home. That is, if Apple was still in business long enough to recomplile many man-years of OS code to support such a drama. Can you imagine the back-peddaling and nay-saying that they "didn't mean it" when they harrangued for years that Intel sucked beyond sucked? I'll be laughing my ass off if it actually came to pass. I'll be following this wild rumor with a microscope because I can always use a good laugh at someone else's nerd-expense.


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