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August 11
I've tried to steer clear of the iMac this week, since the arguments are getting a little redundant even I'll admit. BUT because the whole damn world is hanging off the nipple of this tit - it's hard to pass up another suck. According to multiple press sources, Apple announced 150 thousand pre-order for their retro box. Of course, this was easy to fill for the most part since the backlogs of lower end Power Mac laptops are gathering dust and don't require any more production runs for the time being. Anyway, while it's good news for Apple to have a reasonable launch, the fixation on such hype is not so much a curiosity as much as a lesson in history. Back in the Glory days of NeXT - 1991 to be exact - Steve in September stood on stage holding his latest "save our ass please" computer (or interpersonal black workstation - whatever the hell that was supposed to mean) and going on about 15 thousand advance orders. Notice that it's just one 0 less than the recent proported numbers. Well, I hope these numbers are a little more credible - because in NeXT's case, it was really a phone poll which resulted in many people not following through on their orders - and more than half the remainder being sold in the form of 040 board upgrades to the lackluster, underpowered 030 "workstation" (which shared the same processor of the Mac Cx, Ci, and Fx - amonst others - whoduthink that Apple was in the "workstation" market too! I thought they were a computer company.) Anyway none of this was revealed at the time - or much later for that matter - since NeXT was a nice private company that didn't have to deal with icky things like units shipped or anything like that. Of course now we have the SEC watching Apple's numbers - so I hope they're not pulling the same retro BS. Anyway, the real nostalga comes when we remember how Apple was supposed to sell 2 million Macintoshes by the end of 1985 - when - after a nice enough start - they only managed to ship out the door less than a quarter of that amount. The key question here is - can Apple sustain it's entry burst - or at least carry it's sales into Xmas? Or will it go bust like the Mac 128K did - or worse NeXT which after 7 years only managed to sell 50 thousand of the buggers - an amount that Apple in 1993 (their glory days) shipped in 6 days. What's an even more historical is this. After the failure of the inital Mac 128K - saved from oblivion only after Steve was cast out on his sorry-ass, the demise of NeXT - which never recovered from the pathetic and well hyped launch of the NeXT cube in 1988, there was one thing they both had in common. In both cases both Apple and NeXT "bet the farm" (a quote even from visiting NeXT reps in relation to the optical drive and floppyless cube) on one horse. They litterally put all of their eggs into one basket. In Apple's case, the Apple II was looking long in the tooth - and was getting the living snot beat out of it by the IBM PC. The NeXT was the only thing they had to show for 4 years of work and 150 million dollars in investments. Both flopped and in one case almost cost Apple it's life. Fast forward to today, Apple is rolling out almost nothing but iMacs, has become a hard-to-justify (or sane for that matter) purchase - and in a wierd twist of fate - finds itself begging for developers to hang on and give Mac a chance - in spite of massive dollar losses from all those that stay on the bandwagon. So we have a niche - against the grain - unproven design computer - going after the world again - without a floppy. Does Apple have it's eggs in one precipitous basket again? Ask the person who put them all together not once - but twice - in the past. Steve Jobs.
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